Startup Lessons had 4 launches this week vs 3 last.
20Founder Conviction Index: 20 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
12%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
3range 2–4
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
0.7×
99 comparable launches
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Vote & comment velocity
Not enough snapshots yet. Run the snapshot worker every 15 min to build the time-series.