22×Growing 22× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 13 comparable launches at the same age.
30%Mid-tier finish likely.
Projecting 88 votes by end of day-1.
+100%Launching in a 100% WoW growing category.
Vercel Day had 167 launches this week vs 0 last.
20Founder Conviction Index: 20 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
30%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
88range 66–119
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
22×
13 comparable launches
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