2.1×Growing 2.1× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 3 comparable launches at the same age.
-35%Category cooling: GitHub.
Launches down 35% week-over-week.
25Founder Conviction Index: 25 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
24%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
17range 13–23
Trajectory
stable
Vote pace holding steady.
Speed vs peers
2.1×
3 comparable launches
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