2×Growing 2× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 13 comparable launches at the same age.
-44%Category cooling: Maker Tools.
Launches down 44% week-over-week.
23Founder Conviction Index: 23 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
20%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
9range 7–12
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
2×
13 comparable launches
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Vote & comment velocity
Not enough snapshots yet. Run the snapshot worker every 15 min to build the time-series.