46.3×Growing 46.3× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 38 comparable launches at the same age.
45%Mid-tier finish likely.
Projecting 185 votes by end of day-1.
+100%Launching in a 100% WoW growing category.
SaaS had 153 launches this week vs 0 last.
18Founder Conviction Index: 18 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
45%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
185range 139–250
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
46.3×
38 comparable launches
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