2×Growing 2× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 88 comparable launches at the same age.
-33%Category cooling: Community.
Launches down 33% week-over-week.
15Founder Conviction Index: 15 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
13%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
9range 7–12
Trajectory
stable
Vote pace holding steady.
Speed vs peers
2×
88 comparable launches
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